Al-Ahli Jeddah v Guimaraes: the model read
Al-Ahli Jeddah meet Guimaraes in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% AL-, 29% draw, 33% GUI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1514, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al-Ahli Jeddah, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Al-Ahli Jeddah on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Al-Ahli Jeddah at 54%; double chance reads Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 67%, Guimaraes or draw 62%.
Al-Ahli Jeddah arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Fulham, L 0-2 @ Portimonense, L 1-3 v Guimaraes, D 2-2 @ Rio Ave.
Guimaraes are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Nottingham Forest, W 3-1 @ Al-Ahli Jeddah, W 2-0 v Academica, W 5-0 v Penafiel.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
