Joinville v Blumenau: the model read
Joinville meet Blumenau in the Copa Santa Catarina group stage - 2 at Arena Joinville, Joinville. The model makes Blumenau the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 24% JOI, 30% draw, 47% BLU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Blumenau, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Blumenau on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Blumenau at 66%; double chance reads Joinville or draw 53%, Blumenau or draw 76%.
Joinville arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ São Luiz, W 2-0 v Guarany de Bagé, D 0-0 v Cianorte, L 0-1 @ Santa Catarina.
Blumenau are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Nação, D 1-1 @ Guarani de Palhoça, W 4-1 v Metropolitano, L 0-2 v Hercílio Luz.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
