Politehnica UTM v Zimbru

Politehnica UTM meet Zimbru in the Super Liga regular season - 5 at Complexul Sportiv al Tineretului UTM, undefined. The model makes Zimbru the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% POL, 29% draw, 41% ZIM.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 65%. Attacking output favors Zimbru on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Zimbru at 58%; double chance reads Politehnica UTM or draw 59%, Zimbru or draw 70%.

Politehnica UTM arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Zimbru, W 5-1 @ Dacia-Buiucani, W 2-1 @ Sireți, D 0-0 v Sheriff Tiraspol.

Zimbru are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Politehnica UTM, D 1-1 v FC Noah, D 1-1 v Sireți, L 2-4 @ Sheriff Tiraspol.

Zimbru hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Politehnica UTM 0-2 Zimbru.

The market prices POL at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on Politehnica UTM: a 13.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.