Nyiregyhaza II v Diósgyőr II

Nyiregyhaza II meet Diósgyőr II in the NB III - Northeast northeast - 1. The model makes Nyiregyhaza II the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% NYI, 25% draw, 26% DIÓ.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Nyiregyhaza II on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 81%, over 2.5 goals around 92%. Draw no bet leans Nyiregyhaza II at 66%; double chance reads Nyiregyhaza II or draw 74%, Diósgyőr II or draw 51%.

Nyiregyhaza II arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 14 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Diósgyőr II, L 1-3 @ DEAC, L 1-3 @ Gödöllő, L 1-3 @ Cigand SE.

Diósgyőr II are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Nyiregyhaza II, L 2-5 v Cigand SE, W 3-2 v FC Hatvan, L 1-2 @ Tarpa.

Nyiregyhaza II hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nyiregyhaza II 3-1 Diósgyőr II.

The market prices NYI at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Diósgyőr II: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.