Where the market is wrong on Cowdenbeath v Clyde
Cowdenbeath meet Clyde in the Challenge Cup group stage - 5 at Central Park, Cowdenbeath.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Clyde, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Clyde on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Cowdenbeath arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Clyde, L 0-1 @ Hamilton Academical, W 3-1 v Lochee United, W 2-0 v East Stirlingshire.
Clyde are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Cowdenbeath, L 1-2 v Rangers U21, D 1-1 @ Stirling Albion, W 4-1 v Kelty Hearts.
Clyde hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cowdenbeath 1-3 Clyde.
The market prices COW at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on Cowdenbeath: a 8.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
