Apollon Limassol v Dila

Apollon Limassol meet Dila in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd qualifying round at Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi. The model makes Apollon Limassol the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% APO, 31% draw, 31% DIL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Apollon Limassol, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Apollon Limassol on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Apollon Limassol at 55%; double chance reads Apollon Limassol or draw 69%, Dila or draw 62%.

Apollon Limassol arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Dila, D 0-0 v AEK Larnaca, W 3-0 @ GO Ahead Eagles, W 1-0 @ Utrecht.

Dila are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Iberia 2010, L 0-4 v Apollon Limassol, L 0-1 @ Virtus, W 3-1 v Virtus.

Apollon Limassol hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dila 0-4 Apollon Limassol.

The market prices APO at 70% implied. Our number sits apart on Dila: a 19.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.