Frauen Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6 · Germany

RB Leipzig W v Mainz 05 W

5-0Tempo finalOct 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET· RB-Training Center Cottaweg, Leipzig· Árbitro: Selina Menzel

Análise da partidaResumo pré-jogo

Where the market is wrong on RB Leipzig W v Mainz 05 W

RB Leipzig W meet Mainz 05 W in the Frauen Bundesliga regular season - 6 at RB-Training Center Cottaweg, Leipzig.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Mainz 05 W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.

RB Leipzig W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Mainz 05 W, W 2-0 @ Blau-Gelb Marburg W, L 2-3 @ Union Berlin W, W 2-1 v Nürnberg W.

Mainz 05 W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ RB Leipzig W, W 6-1 @ Ingolstadt W, L 2-3 v Eintracht Frankfurt W, L 0-3 @ SC Freiburg W.

RB Leipzig W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: RB Leipzig W 5-0 Mainz 05 W.

The market prices RB at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Mainz 05 W: a 27.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ver planos

RB Leipzig W

DWLWW6-7-7

Gols marcados 1.55 · Gols sofridos 1.45 · Gols sem sofrer 20% · Ambos marcam 60%

WCasaMainz 05 W5-0
WForaBlau-Gelb Marburg W2-0
LForaUnion Berlin W2-3
WCasaNürnberg W2-1
DForaHamburger SV W1-1

Mainz 05 W

LLLWL10-2-8

Gols marcados 2.35 · Gols sofridos 1.50 · Gols sem sofrer 35% · Ambos marcam 35%

LForaRB Leipzig W0-5
WForaIngolstadt W6-1
LCasaEintracht Frankfurt W2-3
LForaSC Freiburg W0-3
LCasaFC Koln W0-4

Confronto direto

1 encontro

RB Leipzig WregistroMainz 05 W

0 empate

Gols

5-0

por cada

Média de gols

5.0

por jogo

Ambas marcam

ambos marcaram

Mais de 2.5

100%

3+ gols

RB Leipzig W

Recente

Vitórias 1Gols 5-0

Maior vitória 5-0

Mainz 05 W

Recente

Vitórias 0Gols 0-5

RB Leipzig W5-0Mainz 05 W
Frauen BundesligaRB-Training Center Cottaweg
10/3/26, 8:00 AM ET

Treinadores

Jonas Stephan

Treinador principal

No comando desde 2025

Treinador visitante indisponível.

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Apenas dados reais: resultados recentes, confronto direto e odds de mercado. Nenhum resultado do modelo é mostrado para times sem priores do Lemeister.

Relatório da partida

RB Leipzig W beat Mainz 05 W 5-0 at RB-Training Center Cottaweg, Leipzig.

How it unfolded: 47' Delice Boboy (RB ), 52' A. Garden (RB ), 54' Annabel Schasching (RB ), 83' Annabel Schasching (RB pen), 90' Sára Pusztai (RB ).

The numbers, RB to MAI: possession 56% to 44%; shots on target 9 to 6; total shots 18 to 12; corners 1 to 5.

Top match ratings: A. Schasching (RB ) at 8.2, L. Stohr (MAI) at 6.4.

Discipline: 7 yellow cards.

Changes off the bench: RB 5, MAI 5.

The model leaned Mainz 05 W at 42% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 30%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was RB Leipzig W 1-2 Mainz 05 W; the match finished 5-0.

Ledger entry: the published 27.5-point edge on Mainz 05 W did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data

Dados da partida

How it unfolded: 47' Delice Boboy (RB ), 52' A. Garden (RB ), 54' Annabel Schasching (RB ), 83' Annabel Schasching (RB pen), 90' Sára Pusztai (RB ).
The numbers, RB to MAI: possession 56% to 44%; shots on target 9 to 6; total shots 18 to 12; corners 1 to 5.
Top match ratings: A. Schasching (RB ) at 8.2, L. Stohr (MAI) at 6.4.
Discipline: 7 yellow cards.
Changes off the bench: RB 5, MAI 5.

Como o modelo avaliou

The model leaned Mainz 05 W at 42% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 30%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was RB Leipzig W 1-2 Mainz 05 W; the match finished 5-0.

Ledger entry: the published 27.5-point edge on Mainz 05 W did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.

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RB Leipzig W v Mainz 05 W

Where the market is wrong on RB Leipzig W v Mainz 05 W

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RB Leipzig W

Mainz 05 W

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