Liga MX U21 · Regular Season - 6 · Mexico

Pachuca U21 v Guadalajara Chivas U21

2-2Tempo finalAug 29, 2026, 11:15 AM ET

Análise da partidaResumo pré-jogo

Where the market is wrong on Pachuca U21 v Guadalajara Chivas U21

Pachuca U21 meet Guadalajara Chivas U21 in the Liga MX U21 regular season - 6.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 60%. Attacking output favors Pachuca U21 on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.

Pachuca U21 arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Juarez U21, D 2-2 v Guadalajara Chivas U21, D 0-0 @ Atl. San Luis U21, L 0-1 v Puebla U21.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Pachuca U21, L 1-2 v Club Tijuana U21, W 1-0 @ Santos Laguna U21, D 0-0 @ Puebla U21.

Pachuca U21 hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pachuca U21 2-2 Guadalajara Chivas U21.

The market prices PAC at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Guadalajara Chivas U21: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ver planos

Pachuca U21

DLDDD8-9-3

Gols marcados 1.60 · Gols sofridos 0.95 · Gols sem sofrer 40% · Ambos marcam 55%

DForaJuarez U211-1
DCasaGuadalajara Chivas U212-2
DForaAtl. San Luis U210-0
LCasaPuebla U210-1
DForaClub Leon U212-2

Guadalajara Chivas U21

DDWLD6-12-2

Gols marcados 1.50 · Gols sofridos 1.10 · Gols sem sofrer 35% · Ambos marcam 65%

DForaPachuca U212-2
LCasaClub Tijuana U211-2
WForaSantos Laguna U211-0
DForaPuebla U210-0
DCasaToluca U212-2

Confronto direto

3 encontros

Pachuca U21registroGuadalajara Chivas U21

1 empate

Gols

6-3

por cada

Média de gols

3.0

por jogo

Ambas marcam

67%

ambos marcaram

Mais de 2.5

67%

3+ gols

Pachuca U21

Recente

DWW

Vitórias 2Gols 6-3

Maior vitória 2-0

Guadalajara Chivas U21

Recente

DLL

Vitórias 0Gols 3-6

Pachuca U212-2Guadalajara Chivas U21
Liga MX U21
8/29/26, 11:15 AM ET
Guadalajara Chivas U211-2Pachuca U21
Liga MX U21
1/10/26, 10:00 AM ET
Pachuca U212-0Guadalajara Chivas U21
Liga MX U21Estadio Universidad del Futbol Cancha 5
11/2/25, 10:15 AM ET

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Apenas dados reais: resultados recentes, confronto direto e odds de mercado. Nenhum resultado do modelo é mostrado para times sem priores do Lemeister.

Relatório da partida

Pachuca U21 and Guadalajara Chivas U21 drew 2-2.

How it unfolded: 4' A. Ben Rhouma (GUA), 7' A. Rosales (PAC), 39' C. Hernandez (PAC pen), 84' A. Ben Rhouma (GUA), 121' (PAC pen), 122' (GUA pen), 122' (PAC pen), 123' (GUA pen), 124' (GUA pen), 124' (PAC pen), 125' (GUA pen), 125' (PAC pen), 126' (GUA pen).

Discipline: 1 red (Y. Orozco).

The model leaned Pachuca U21 at 37% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 31%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Pachuca U21 1-0 Guadalajara Chivas U21; the match finished 2-2.

Ledger entry: the published 8.0-point edge on Guadalajara Chivas U21 did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data

Dados da partida

How it unfolded: 4' A. Ben Rhouma (GUA), 7' A. Rosales (PAC), 39' C. Hernandez (PAC pen), 84' A. Ben Rhouma (GUA), 121' (PAC pen), 122' (GUA pen), 122' (PAC pen), 123' (GUA pen), 124' (GUA pen), 124' (PAC pen), 125' (GUA pen), 125' (PAC pen), 126' (GUA pen).
Discipline: 1 red (Y. Orozco).

Como o modelo avaliou

The model leaned Pachuca U21 at 37% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 31%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Pachuca U21 1-0 Guadalajara Chivas U21; the match finished 2-2.

Ledger entry: the published 8.0-point edge on Guadalajara Chivas U21 did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.

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Pachuca U21 v Guadalajara Chivas U21

Where the market is wrong on Pachuca U21 v Guadalajara Chivas U21

Sua aposta

Pachuca U21

Guadalajara Chivas U21

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