Where the market is wrong on Bsk Bijelo Brdo v HNK Cibalia
Bsk Bijelo Brdo meet HNK Cibalia in the First NL regular season - 2.
HNK Cibalia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1477. Recent form leans HNK Cibalia, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors HNK Cibalia on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans HNK Cibalia at 58%; double chance reads Bsk Bijelo Brdo or draw 61%, HNK Cibalia or draw 73%.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v HNK Cibalia, W 1-0 v Dinamo Zagreb U21, D 0-0 @ Kom, L 0-1 v Croatia Zmijavci.
HNK Cibalia are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Bsk Bijelo Brdo, W 2-1 v Dubrava Zagreb, W 1-0 v Mladost Ždralovi, L 0-3 @ NK Osijek.
HNK Cibalia hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bsk Bijelo Brdo 1-1 HNK Cibalia.
The market prices BSK at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on HNK Cibalia: a 6.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
