KAC Kenitra v AS Mansouria

KAC Kenitra meet AS Mansouria in the Botola 2 final. The model makes KAC Kenitra the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% KAC, 38% draw, 23% AS .

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans KAC Kenitra, 43% against 33%. Attacking output favors KAC Kenitra on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 10%, over 2.5 goals around 8%. Draw no bet leans KAC Kenitra at 63%; double chance reads KAC Kenitra or draw 77%, AS Mansouria or draw 61%.

KAC Kenitra arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v AS Mansouria, D 0-0 @ AS Mansouria, L 3-4 @ Chabab Mohammédia, L 1-2 v Riadi Salmi.

AS Mansouria are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ KAC Kenitra, D 0-0 v KAC Kenitra, L 0-3 v CR Khemis Zemamra, L 0-1 v Renaissance Berkane.

The market prices KAC at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 13.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.