The New Saints v Flora Tallinn: the model read
The New Saints meet Flora Tallinn in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd qualifying round at Park Hall, Oswestry. The model makes Flora Tallinn the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% THE, 30% draw, 38% FLO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 73%. Attacking output favors Flora Tallinn on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Flora Tallinn at 55%; double chance reads The New Saints or draw 62%, Flora Tallinn or draw 68%.
The New Saints arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Flora Tallinn, L 1-2 v Sabah FA, L 0-2 @ Sabah FA, W 2-1 @ H&W Welders.
Flora Tallinn are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v The New Saints, L 1-2 v Nõmme United, D 2-2 @ Saburtalo, L 2-3 v Saburtalo.
Flora Tallinn hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New Saints.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
