Where the market is wrong on South Shields v Buxton
South Shields meet Buxton in the National League - North national league north - 10 at Wolf Competitions Stadium, South Shields.
The baseline ratings are close, 1637 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 65%. Attacking output favors Buxton on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
South Shields arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Buxton, W 7-0 v Witton Albion, L 0-6 @ Hereford, W 2-1 v Marine.
Buxton are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ South Shields, W 1-0 v Ashton United, W 3-1 v Chester, W 5-0 v Brackley Town.
South Shields hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: South Shields 4-0 Buxton.
The market prices SOU at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
