Where the market is wrong on Bedford Town v Hereford
Bedford Town meet Hereford in the National League - North national league north - 10 at The Eyrie, Bedford.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 63%. Attacking output favors Hereford on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Bedford Town arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Hereford, W 2-1 v King's Lynn Town, L 1-2 @ Spalding United, W 2-1 @ Worksop Town.
Hereford are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Bedford Town, L 2-3 @ Stafford Rangers, W 6-0 v South Shields, W 3-0 @ Harborough Town.
Their last 3 meetings are tight — 3 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Bedford Town 1-1 Hereford.
The market prices BED at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
