Tasmania Berlin v Erzgebirge Aue: the model read
Tasmania Berlin meet Erzgebirge Aue in the Regionalliga - Nordost nordost - 2. The model makes Tasmania Berlin the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% TAS, 26% draw, 31% ERZ.
Tasmania Berlin rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1468. Recent form leans Tasmania Berlin, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Tasmania Berlin on expected goals, 2.7 to 2.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 91%, over 2.5 goals around 96%. Draw no bet leans Tasmania Berlin at 58%; double chance reads Tasmania Berlin or draw 69%, Erzgebirge Aue or draw 57%.
Tasmania Berlin arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 13 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Magdeburg II, L 3-4 v Olympic, W 4-3 v Schoneiche, W 2-0 v Hertha Zehlendorf.
Erzgebirge Aue are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 17 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Altglienicke, L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
