Where the market is wrong on Boston United v AFC Fylde
Boston United meet AFC Fylde in the National League regular season - 10 at Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AFC Fylde, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors AFC Fylde on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Boston United arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v AFC Fylde, W 3-1 @ Forest Green, D 1-1 v Woking, L 1-3 v Wealdstone.
AFC Fylde are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Boston United, L 1-2 v Altrincham, W 2-1 @ Harrogate Town, W 4-1 @ Yeovil Town.
AFC Fylde hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Boston United 0-1 AFC Fylde.
The market prices BOS at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
