Where the market is wrong on Altrincham v Eastleigh
Altrincham meet Eastleigh in the National League regular season - 6 at Moss Lane, Altrincham.
Altrincham rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1528 to 1407. Recent form leans Altrincham, 53% against 34%. Attacking output favors Altrincham on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Altrincham arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Eastleigh, W 2-1 @ Forest Green, W 2-1 v FC Halifax Town, L 0-1 @ Boston United.
Eastleigh are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Altrincham, D 1-1 v Aldershot Town, W 1-0 @ Hartlepool, W 3-2 v Scunthorpe.
The market prices ALT at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
