Forest Green v Altrincham

Forest Green meet Altrincham in the National League regular season - 5 at The New Lawn, Nailsworth.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 47%. Attacking output favors Forest Green on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Forest Green at 54%; double chance reads Forest Green or draw 68%, Altrincham or draw 62%.

Forest Green arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ AFC Fylde, L 0-3 v Boreham Wood, W 2-1 @ Worthing, W 3-2 v FC Halifax Town.

Altrincham are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v FC Halifax Town, L 0-1 @ Boston United, L 0-1 @ Sutton Utd, L 1-3 v Southend.

Forest Green hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Forest Green 1-1 Altrincham.

The market prices FOR at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Altrincham: a 13.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.