Where the market is wrong on Boston United v AFC Hornchurch
Boston United meet AFC Hornchurch in the National League regular season - 5 at Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston.
AFC Hornchurch rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1512. Recent form leans AFC Hornchurch, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors AFC Hornchurch on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans AFC Hornchurch at 59%; double chance reads Boston United or draw 58%, AFC Hornchurch or draw 71%.
Boston United arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Boreham Wood, W 1-0 v Altrincham, L 2-3 v Birmingham City U21, W 2-0 @ Solihull Moors.
AFC Hornchurch are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Woking, L 1-4 @ Carlisle, L 1-2 v Norwich City U21, W 2-1 @ Barrow.
The market prices BOS at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on AFC Hornchurch: a 15.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
