Where the market is wrong on Kocaelispor v Samsunspor
Kocaelispor meet Samsunspor in the Süper Lig regular season - 4 at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit.
Samsunspor rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1420. Recent form leans Samsunspor, 60% against 38%. Attacking output favors Samsunspor on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Kocaelispor arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Konyaspor, W 2-0 v Amed, L 0-2 @ Başakşehir, L 0-1 @ Antalyaspor.
Samsunspor are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Fenerbahçe, W 2-0 @ Rizespor, D 3-3 v Göztepe, L 0-3 @ Kasımpaşa.
Samsunspor hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Samsunspor 0-0 Kocaelispor.
The market prices KOC at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Samsunspor: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
