Deportivo Maldonado v Juventud

Deportivo Maldonado meet Juventud in the Primera División - Apertura torneo intermedio - 7. The model makes Deportivo Maldonado the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% DEP, 30% draw, 29% JUV.

Deportivo Maldonado rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1477. Recent form leans Deportivo Maldonado, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Maldonado on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Maldonado at 59%; double chance reads Deportivo Maldonado or draw 71%, Juventud or draw 59%.

Deportivo Maldonado arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Progreso, D 1-1 v Albion FC, W 4-2 @ Atletico Torque, W 3-0 v Club Nacional.

Juventud are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Albion FC, L 1-3 v Atletico Torque, D 1-1 @ Danubio, L 1-2 @ Club Nacional.

Juventud hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Juventud.

The market prices DEP at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Juventud: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.