Tlaxcala v Piratas: the model read
Tlaxcala meet Piratas in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 12 at Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Piratas, 56% against 43%. Attacking output favors Tlaxcala on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Tlaxcala arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v CDS Tampico Madero, D 1-1 @ Durango, W 3-1 v Venados FC, L 2-3 @ Tepatitlán.
Piratas are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Cruz Azul Hidalgo, W 4-1 v Correcaminos Uat, D 1-1 @ Leones Negros UDG, L 0-1 v Cancún.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
