CA La Paz v Durango: the model read
CA La Paz meet Durango in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 2 at Estadio Guaycura, La Paz. The model makes Durango the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 22% CA , 29% draw, 50% DUR.
Durango rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1489. Recent form leans Durango, 78% against 50%. Attacking output favors Durango on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Durango at 70%; double chance reads CA La Paz or draw 50%, Durango or draw 78%.
CA La Paz arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Monarcas, D 2-2 @ FC Juarez, L 1-2 v CDS Tampico Madero, L 0-2 @ CDS Tampico Madero.
Durango are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tepatitlán, D 0-0 v Deportiva Venados, L 1-2 @ Deportiva Venados, W 2-1 v Deportivo Zap.
CA La Paz hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: CA La Paz 2-1 Durango.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
