Where the market is wrong on Ishøj v Næsby
Ishøj meet Næsby in the 3. Division regular season - 4.
Næsby rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Næsby, 63% against 25%. Attacking output favors Næsby on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Næsby at 75%; double chance reads Ishøj or draw 43%, Næsby or draw 81%.
Ishøj arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Næsby, L 0-2 @ Hørsholm-Usserød, L 0-1 v ASA Aarhus, L 1-3 @ Sydkysten.
Næsby are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Munkebo, W 5-1 @ Ishøj, D 0-0 v Brønshøj, L 0-3 @ Vanløse.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 5 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ishøj 1-5 Næsby.
The market prices ISH at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Næsby: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
