Where the market is wrong on Espanyol W v Madrid CFF W
Espanyol W meet Madrid CFF W in the Primera División Femenina regular season - 4 at Ciutat Esportiva Dani Jarque, Barcelona.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 40%. Attacking output favors Madrid CFF W on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Espanyol W arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Madrid CFF W, D 2-2 @ Athletic Club W, L 0-1 v FC Levante Badalona W, L 0-1 @ Eibar W.
Madrid CFF W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Espanyol W, W 1-0 v Sevilla W, W 3-1 @ Valencia W, W 3-1 v Granada.
Madrid CFF W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Espanyol W 5-1 Madrid CFF W.
The market prices ESP at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Espanyol W: a 10.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
