Where the market is wrong on Sparta Katowice v Polonia Nysa
Sparta Katowice meet Polonia Nysa in the III Liga - Group 3 group iii - 7.
Sparta Katowice rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1698 to 1407. Recent form leans Sparta Katowice, 76% against 34%. Attacking output favors Sparta Katowice on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.
Sparta Katowice arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 11 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Polonia Nysa, W 1-0 v Zaglebie Sosnowiec, W 3-0 v Ślęza Wrocław, W 2-1 v Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Polonia Nysa are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Sparta Katowice, L 1-3 v Ślęza Wrocław, L 0-2 @ Goczałkowice Zdrój, W 3-2 v Stal Brzeg.
Sparta Katowice hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sparta Katowice 4-0 Polonia Nysa.
The market prices SPA at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output