Where the market is wrong on Rotherham v Crewe
Rotherham meet Crewe in the League Two regular season - 8 at New York Stadium, Rotherham.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Crewe on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Rotherham arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Crewe, D 1-1 @ York, W 1-0 @ Northampton, D 3-3 v Salford City.
Crewe are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Rotherham, W 4-1 v Aston Villa U21, D 1-1 v Shrewsbury, D 1-1 @ Colchester.
Rotherham hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rotherham 1-1 Crewe.
The market prices ROT at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Crewe: a 8.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
