Puskas Academy v Kisvarda FC

Puskas Academy meet Kisvarda FC in the NB I regular season - 2 at Pancho Arena, undefined. The model makes Puskas Academy the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% PUS, 33% draw, 32% KIS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 40%. Attacking output favors Puskas Academy on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Puskas Academy at 52%; double chance reads Puskas Academy or draw 68%, Kisvarda FC or draw 65%.

Puskas Academy arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Debreceni VSC, L 0-2 v Başakşehir, D 1-1 v FC BW Linz, W 1-0 v Slovan Bratislava.

Kisvarda FC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Budapest Honved, W 1-0 v Zemplín Michalovce, L 0-1 v Bukovyna, W 1-0 v Kazincbarcikai.

Puskas Academy hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kisvarda FC 1-0 Puskas Academy.

The market prices PUS at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Kisvarda FC: a 12.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.