Where the market is wrong on ŁKS Łódź v Polonia Bytom
ŁKS Łódź meet Polonia Bytom in the I Liga regular season - 2. The model makes ŁKS Łódź the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% ŁKS, 28% draw, 35% POL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1514, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans ŁKS Łódź, 61% against 50%. Attacking output favors Polonia Bytom on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans ŁKS Łódź at 51%; double chance reads ŁKS Łódź or draw 65%, Polonia Bytom or draw 63%.
ŁKS Łódź arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Pogoń Siedlce, L 0-3 @ Wisla Plock, D 2-2 v Unia Skierniewice, W 2-1 @ Radomiak Radom.
Polonia Bytom are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v Warta Poznań, W 4-0 v KSZO 1929, L 2-3 @ Opava, W 3-1 v Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
ŁKS Łódź hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Polonia Bytom 2-3 ŁKS Łódź.
The market prices ŁKS at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Polonia Bytom: a 14.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
