Where the market is wrong on Kelty Hearts v Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts meet Edinburgh City in the League Two regular season - 8 at New Central Park, Kelty.
Edinburgh City rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1420. Recent form leans Edinburgh City, 63% against 34%. Attacking output favors Edinburgh City on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Kelty Hearts arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v Hearts U21, L 1-3 v Edinburgh City, L 1-4 @ Clyde, W 3-0 @ Cumbernauld Colts.
Edinburgh City are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 14 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Dundee United II, W 3-1 @ Kelty Hearts, W 7-3 v Stirling Albion, D 1-1 v Queen of the South.
Kelty Hearts hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Edinburgh City.
The market prices KEL at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Edinburgh City: a 10.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output