Where the market is wrong on Fulham v Hull City
Fulham meet Hull City in the Premier League regular season - 7 at Craven Cottage, London.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Hull City, 58% against 45%. Attacking output favors Hull City on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Fulham arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Manchester United, W 3-2 @ West Ham, D 0-0 @ Liverpool, L 2-3 v Crystal Palace.
Hull City are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Newcastle, D 2-2 @ Chelsea, L 0-1 @ Sunderland, D 0-0 v Aston Villa.
Fulham hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Hull City 0-2 Fulham.
The market prices FUL at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Hull City: a 22.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
