Shimizu S-pulse v Kashiwa Reysol: the model read
Shimizu S-pulse meet Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League regular season - 4 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka. The model makes Shimizu S-pulse the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% SHI, 31% draw, 34% KAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Shimizu S-pulse, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Kashiwa Reysol on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Shimizu S-pulse at 51%; double chance reads Shimizu S-pulse or draw 66%, Kashiwa Reysol or draw 65%.
Shimizu S-pulse arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Karlsruher SC, W 3-1 @ Polessya, L 0-3 @ Yokohama F. Marinos, D 1-1 v Yokohama F. Marinos.
Kashiwa Reysol are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Kyoto Sanga, W 6-2 @ Kyoto Sanga, W 4-2 v JEF United Chiba, W 1-0 @ Yokohama F. Marinos.
Kashiwa Reysol hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Shimizu S-pulse 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
