Where the market is wrong on Novi Pazar v Železničar Pančevo
Novi Pazar meet Železničar Pančevo in the Super Liga regular season - 8 at Gradski Stadion, Novi Pazar.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1445, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Železničar Pančevo, 44% against 34%. Attacking output favors Železničar Pančevo on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Novi Pazar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Železničar Pančevo, D 1-1 v Macva, L 0-1 @ Radnik Surdulica, W 2-0 v Vojvodina.
Železničar Pančevo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Novi Pazar, W 5-1 v Radnik Surdulica, L 0-1 @ Vojvodina, D 2-2 @ OFK Beograd.
The market prices NOV at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
