Where the market is wrong on Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin
Raków Częstochowa meet Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa regular season - 8 at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Raków Częstochowa on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Raków Częstochowa arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Lech Poznan, L 1-2 v Gornik Zabrze, L 2-5 v Jagiellonia, L 2-3 v HNK Hajduk Split.
Motor Lublin are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Legia Warszawa, W 3-0 v Legia Warszawa, L 0-2 v Piast Gliwice, D 1-1 @ Korona Kielce.
Raków Częstochowa hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Motor Lublin 1-1 Raków Częstochowa.
The market prices RAK at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Motor Lublin: a 12.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
