Where the market is wrong on NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen meet Feyenoord in the Eredivisie regular season - 5 at Goffertstadion, Nijmegen.
Feyenoord rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1454. Recent form leans Feyenoord, 78% against 43%. Attacking output favors Feyenoord on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.7 per match.
NEC Nijmegen arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ PEC Zwolle, L 0-3 @ Bodo/Glimt, L 1-3 v Bodo/Glimt, W 4-1 @ Willem II.
Feyenoord are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v ADO Den Haag, W 5-2 @ Cambuur, D 2-2 v GO Ahead Eagles, W 1-0 @ Sparta Rotterdam.
Feyenoord hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord.
The market prices NEC at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
