Helmond Sport v Waalwijk: the model read
Helmond Sport meet Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 3 at GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond. The model makes Waalwijk the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 22% HEL, 28% draw, 50% WAA.
Waalwijk rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Waalwijk, 60% against 29%. Attacking output favors Waalwijk on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Waalwijk at 70%; double chance reads Helmond Sport or draw 50%, Waalwijk or draw 78%.
Helmond Sport arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Al Taawon, L 0-2 v KVC Westerlo, D 1-1 @ Gemert, L 1-2 v AEK Larnaca.
Waalwijk are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 v Alemannia Aachen, D 0-0 @ Kozakken Boys, D 1-1 v Jong AZ.
Waalwijk hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Helmond Sport 2-2 Waalwijk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
