Roda v Helmond Sport: the model read
Roda meet Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 2 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade. The model makes Roda the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% ROD, 29% draw, 22% HEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Roda, 53% against 29%. Attacking output favors Roda on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Roda at 69%; double chance reads Roda or draw 78%, Helmond Sport or draw 51%.
Roda arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Beerschot VA, L 1-2 @ Cambuur, D 1-1 @ Vitesse, W 10-0 @ Chevremont.
Helmond Sport are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Al Taawon, L 0-2 v KVC Westerlo, D 1-1 @ Gemert, L 1-2 v AEK Larnaca.
Roda hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Roda 1-1 Helmond Sport.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
