Emmen v Roda: the model read
Emmen meet Roda in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 1 at De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen. The model makes Roda the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 24% EMM, 27% draw, 49% ROD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Roda, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Roda on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Roda at 67%; double chance reads Emmen or draw 51%, Roda or draw 76%.
Emmen arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Heracles, L 2-3 @ Groningen, W 1-0 v De Graafschap, D 2-2 @ Roda.
Roda are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Beerschot VA, L 1-2 @ Cambuur, D 1-1 @ Vitesse, W 10-0 @ Chevremont.
Roda hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Roda 2-2 Emmen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
