Where the market is wrong on Slavia Sofia v Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia meet Septemvri Sofia in the First League regular season - 7 at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 56% against 55%. Attacking output favors Slavia Sofia on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Slavia Sofia at 54%; double chance reads Slavia Sofia or draw 68%, Septemvri Sofia or draw 63%.
Slavia Sofia arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Septemvri Sofia, D 1-1 @ Ludogorets, W 3-0 @ Botev Vratsa, D 1-1 v Lokomotiv Sofia.
Septemvri Sofia are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Slavia Sofia, W 1-0 v CSKA 1948, W 1-0 @ Spartak Varna, L 0-3 v CSKA Sofia.
Slavia Sofia hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Slavia Sofia 1-1 Septemvri Sofia.
The market prices SLA at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Septemvri Sofia: a 10.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
