Genoa v Fiorentina: the model read
Genoa meet Fiorentina in the Serie A regular season - 6 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fiorentina, 58% against 43%. Attacking output favors Fiorentina on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Fiorentina at 60%; double chance reads Genoa or draw 58%, Fiorentina or draw 72%.
Genoa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Lazio, L 0-2 v Napoli, W 4-1 v Ascoli, L 0-1 v Deportivo La Coruna.
Fiorentina are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Frosinone, L 0-4 @ AS Roma, W 4-1 v Benevento, D 1-1 v Deportivo La Coruna.
Fiorentina hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fiorentina 0-0 Genoa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
