Where the market is wrong on Torino v AS Roma
Torino meet AS Roma in the Serie A regular season - 4 at Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AS Roma, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors AS Roma on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans AS Roma at 58%; double chance reads Torino or draw 59%, AS Roma or draw 70%.
Torino arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Sassuolo, L 1-2 v AC Milan, W 1-0 v Carrarese, D 1-1 @ Avellino.
AS Roma are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Lecce, W 4-0 v Fiorentina, D 2-2 @ Borussia Dortmund, L 0-3 @ Brighton.
AS Roma hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Torino 0-2 AS Roma.
The market prices TOR at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Torino: a 11.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
