Frosinone v Venezia: the model read
Frosinone meet Venezia in the Serie A regular season - 3 at Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone.
The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 75% against 70%. Attacking output favors Venezia on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Frosinone at 52%; double chance reads Frosinone or draw 66%, Venezia or draw 63%.
Frosinone arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Fiorentina, L 0-1 v Juventus, W 4-1 v Juve Stabia, L 1-2 v Lazio.
Venezia are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ AC Milan, L 0-2 v Lecce, W 3-2 v Modena, D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29.
Frosinone hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Frosinone 1-2 Venezia.
The market prices FRO at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Frosinone: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
