Quindio v Popayan

Quindio meet Popayan in the Primera B clausura - 1 at Estadio Centenario, Armenia. The model makes Quindio the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% QUI, 34% draw, 29% POP.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Quindio, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Popayan on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Quindio at 56%; double chance reads Quindio or draw 71%, Popayan or draw 63%.

Quindio arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Popayan, L 1-2 @ Deportes Tolima, L 0-1 @ Envigado, L 0-1 v Internacional Palmira.

Popayan are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Quindio, W 3-2 @ Bucaramanga, L 1-5 v Deportivo Cali, W 3-0 @ Real Santander.

Popayan hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Quindio 0-1 Popayan.

The market prices QUI at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Popayan: a 14.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.