Sporting Cristal v Atletico Grau: the model read
Sporting Cristal meet Atletico Grau in the Primera División clausura - 10 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima. The model makes Atletico Grau the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% SPO, 32% draw, 35% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 43%. Attacking output favors Sporting Cristal on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Atletico Grau at 51%; double chance reads Sporting Cristal or draw 65%, Atletico Grau or draw 67%.
Sporting Cristal arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ RB Bragantino, L 1-2 @ FBC Melgar, D 0-0 v RB Bragantino, W 1-0 v Deportivo Garcilaso.
Atletico Grau are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sport Huancayo, W 3-1 v UTC Cajamarca, D 1-1 v Carlos A. Mannucci, D 1-1 @ Universitario.
Sporting Cristal hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atletico Grau 4-1 Sporting Cristal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
