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ASEAN Championship · Group Stage - 1 · World

Laos v Thailand

0-5Tempo final· New Laos National Stadium, Vientiane· Árbitro: Choi Hyun-jai

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Where the market is wrong on Laos v Thailand

Laos meet Thailand in the ASEAN Championship group stage - 1 at New Laos National Stadium, Vientiane. The model makes Thailand the most likely outcome at 62%, with the full read 16% LAO, 22% draw, 62% THA.

Thailand rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1400. Recent form leans Thailand, 70% against 20%. Attacking output favors Thailand on expected goals, 2.4 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans Thailand at 80%; double chance reads Laos or draw 38%, Thailand or draw 84%.

Laos arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Malaysia, L 0-5 v Thailand, W 1-0 @ Nepal, L 0-2 v Vietnam.

Thailand are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 13 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Laos, D 0-0 @ China, D 2-2 v Kuwait, W 2-1 v Turkmenistan.

Thailand hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Laos 0-5 Thailand.

The market prices LAO at 4% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 13.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Laos

LLWLL2-4-14

Gols marcados 0.85 · Gols sofridos 2.50 · Clean sheets 5% · Ambos marcam 60%

  • LForaMalaysia0-4
  • LCasaThailand0-5
  • WForaNepal1-0
  • LCasaVietnam0-2
  • LForaMalaysia1-5

Thailand

WWDDW13-2-5

Gols marcados 2.35 · Gols sofridos 1.10 · Clean sheets 40% · Ambos marcam 55%

  • WForaLaos5-0
  • DForaChina0-0
  • DCasaKuwait2-2
  • WCasaTurkmenistan2-1
  • WForaSri Lanka4-0

Head-to-head

2 meetings

LaosrecordThailand
0
1
1 draw

Goals

1-6

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Laos

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 1-6

Thailand

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 6-1

Biggest win 5-0

  • Laos0-5Thailand
  • Thailand1-1Laos

Managers

M. Weiß

Head coach

In charge since 2022 · 4 clubs managed

  • Laos U232022–2022
  • Mongolia2018–2019
  • Philippines2013–2013

M. Ishii

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 5 clubs managed

  • Buriram United2022–2023
  • Pattaya United2020–2021
  • Omiya Ardija2018–2018
  • Kashima2016–2017

Apenas dados reais: resultados recentes, confronto direto e odds de mercado. Nenhum resultado do modelo é mostrado para times sem priores do Lemeister.