Where the market is wrong on Olympic v IFK Goteborg
Olympic meet IFK Goteborg in the Svenska Cupen final.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Olympic on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Olympic arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-7 @ Lund, L 3-4 v Tvååker, D 2-2 v AFC Malmo, L 0-2 @ Jonkopings Sodra.
IFK Goteborg are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Orgryte IS, D 1-1 v IF Elfsborg, L 0-3 @ Degerfors IF, D 1-1 @ Gent.
The market prices OLY at 8% implied. Our number sits apart on Olympic: a 32.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
