Where the market is wrong on FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Kauno Žalgiris
FK Zalgiris Vilnius meet Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga regular season - 25 at LFF stadionas, Vilnius.
The baseline ratings are close, 1613 to 1613, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 66%. Attacking output favors FK Zalgiris Vilnius on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Kauno Žalgiris, D 0-0 @ Suduva Marijampole, W 1-0 v Šiauliai, L 0-2 @ Panevėžys.
Kauno Žalgiris are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ FK Zalgiris Vilnius, W 1-0 @ Panevėžys, W 5-1 v Suduva Marijampole, W 5-0 v Džiugas Telšiai.
Kauno Žalgiris hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 Kauno Žalgiris.
The market prices FK at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on FK Zalgiris Vilnius: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
