Suduva Marijampole v Hegelmann Litauen: the model read
Suduva Marijampole meet Hegelmann Litauen in the A Lyga regular season - 23 at Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole. The model makes Suduva Marijampole the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% SUD, 28% draw, 24% HEG.
Suduva Marijampole rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1420. Recent form leans Suduva Marijampole, 65% against 39%. Attacking output favors Suduva Marijampole on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Suduva Marijampole at 67%; double chance reads Suduva Marijampole or draw 76%, Hegelmann Litauen or draw 52%.
Suduva Marijampole arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Hegelmann Litauen, D 0-0 v TransINVEST Vilnius, W 2-1 @ Panevėžys, W 2-1 @ Džiugas Telšiai.
Hegelmann Litauen are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v FK Zalgiris Vilnius, W 2-0 @ Šiauliai, L 1-5 @ Suduva Marijampole, L 0-3 @ Paide.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Suduva Marijampole 5-1 Hegelmann Litauen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
