South AfricaKenya v South Africa: the model read
Kenya meet South Africa in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1573 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 55%. Attacking output favors Kenya on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Kenya arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Lesotho, D 1-1 @ Lesotho, W 3-0 @ Grenada, D 1-1 v Estonia.
South Africa are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Canada, W 1-0 v South Korea, D 1-1 @ Czechia, L 0-2 @ Mexico.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
