Mali v Rwanda: the model read
Mali meet Rwanda in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1483, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mali, 53% against 44%. Attacking output favors Mali on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Mali arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Iran, D 0-0 @ Russia, L 0-1 v Senegal, D 1-1 v Tunisia.
Rwanda are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Estonia, W 4-0 v Grenada, L 0-3 @ South Africa, L 0-1 v Benin.
Mali hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Rwanda 0-3 Mali.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
