Miramar v Fenix: the model read
Miramar meet Fenix in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 3 at Parque Palermo, Montevideo. The model makes Fenix the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% MIR, 30% draw, 40% FEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fenix, 55% against 42%. Attacking output favors Fenix on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Fenix at 58%; double chance reads Miramar or draw 60%, Fenix or draw 71%.
Miramar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cerrito, D 1-1 v Atenas, W 3-1 @ Island Bay, W 3-2 @ Paysandu.
Fenix are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Paysandu, W 2-0 v Sportivo Huracan, L 2-3 @ Uruguay Montevideo, D 2-2 v Oriental.
Fenix hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Miramar 1-1 Fenix.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
